Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Wargame

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wargame Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Wargame

Of 68 developers who shipped a Wargame Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 124 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 30 developers shipped in the last year and 124 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 124 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Wargame
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $900 → $599 → $390 → $180 → $1.2k → $179 (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Wargame: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 5% $189k (exactly $188,842)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 239
Announced 124
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Wargame; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 5,387 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 124 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 2024 · $303M VLADiK BRUTAL 2024 · $3.4M Carrier Command 2 2021 · $3.1M Medal of Honor™: Above and Beyond 2020 · $3.0M Commandos: Origins 2025 · $2.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 older $59.99 168,628 84% 5.1M $303M (exactly $303,479,812) Saber Interactive
VLADiK BRUTAL older $11.99 9,551 89% 287k $3.4M (exactly $3,435,495) BRUTAL SOFTWARE
Carrier Command 2 older $29.99 3,444 82% 103k $3.1M (exactly $3,098,567) Geometa
Medal of Honor™: Above and Beyond older $39.99 2,466 65% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,958,460) Respawn Entertainment
Commandos: Origins $49.99 1,844 79% 55k $2.8M (exactly $2,765,447) Claymore Game Studios
Vietnam War · EA $14.99 1,704 84% 51k $766k (exactly $766,289) Thorium Game Lab
IronWolf VR older $19.99 1,087 94% 33k $652k (exactly $651,874) Ionized Studios
Scavland · EA $19.99 800 81% 24k $480k (exactly $479,760) NoShadow
Han Xiongnu Wars older $6.99 2,200 67% 66k $461k (exactly $461,340) Shangshi Studio
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
SeaCret 1 · EA $39.99 99 61% 3.0k $119k (exactly $118,770) Dalas
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
DRONE PERSPECTIVE · EA $12.99 84 88% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Demetri Lind
Sexy Iron Maidens $4.99 123 69% 3.7k $18k (exactly $18,413) Earl Marx
Space Tales $14.99 35 80% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Saigon Dragon Studios
Kamikaze Strike: FPV Drone $5.99 48 83% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Dinomore Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.