Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Colony Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Colony Sim Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Colony Sim

Only 19 developers shipped a Colony Sim Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Soulmask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $16M, ×26425 the market median. Revenue is up 520% on the market; 52 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 520% on the market, 52 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Colony Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.5k → $180 → $708k → $2.7k → $7.2k → $1.5M (still earning) → $677k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Colony Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,193)
Top 25% $677k (exactly $677,323)
Top 5% $17M (exactly $16,594,966)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 51
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 520% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Colony Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Colony Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Automation, Base Building
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 26,907 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $670k, 1 in 20 over $16M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Pax Autocratica · EA $29.99 3,202 91% 96k $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) Multiverse
Eden Crafters $19.99 2,507 85% 75k $1.5M (exactly $1,503,448) Osaris Games
Wild West Legacy older $26.99 1,706 39% 51k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) Moon Punch Studio
Gord older $49.99 809 53% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) Covenant.dev
Orebound · EA $24.99 945 77% 28k $708k (exactly $708,466) Emberforge
DIVE or DIE - Children of Rain $17.99 1,255 91% 38k $677k (exactly $677,323) Drop Rate Studio
Grand Emprise: Time Travel Survival older $19.99 807 69% 24k $484k (exactly $483,958) Tbjbu2
First Dwarf · EA older $24.99 314 76% 9.4k $235k (exactly $235,406) Star Drifters
SeaCret 1 · EA $39.99 99 61% 3.0k $119k (exactly $118,770) Dalas
FREE DUROV $3.99 363 90% 11k $43k (exactly $43,451) RASKUMAR TEAM
Space Tales $14.99 35 80% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Saigon Dragon Studios
The Colony 2044 · EA $9.99 32 59% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Nexrage Studios
Sand: A Superfluous Game $9.99 24 83% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Voided Pixels Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.