Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + 6DOF

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 6DOF FPS?

FPS + 6DOF

Of 32 developers who shipped a 6DOF FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 59 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + 6DOF
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $8.6k → $1.7k → $19k → $599 → $899 → $838 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + 6DOF: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,814)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 147
Announced 59
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, 6DOF; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Gun Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, VR, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 10,381 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Metro Awakening 2024 · $2.7M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M Angels Fall First 2026 · $2.1M Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 2023 · $2.0M Overload 2018 · $1.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metro Awakening $29.99 3,013 73% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) Vertigo Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Angels Fall First $17.99 3,835 81% 115k $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749) Strangely Interactive Ltd
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 older $29.99 2,258 84% 68k $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) Vertigo Games
Overload older $29.99 1,649 94% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,483,605) Revival Productions, LLC
Gunman Contracts - Stand Alone · EA $24.99 1,180 78% 35k $885k (exactly $884,646) ANB_Seth
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
Arizona Sunshine® VR Remake $19.99 1,203 88% 36k $721k (exactly $721,439) Vertigo Games
Red Matter 2 older $29.99 673 92% 20k $605k (exactly $605,498) Vertical Robot
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
Captain Hardcore · EA $39.99 198 80% 5.9k $238k (exactly $237,541) AntiZero Games
Desecrators $14.99 327 96% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) Woodhound
JOI Lab VR 🔞 / 自慰ラボ $14.99 43 60% 1.3k $19k (exactly $19,337) Caulino
House of Empty Names $5.99 88 87% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,814) Sordar Studios
Death Horizon: Cyberfusion $7.99 61 67% 1.8k $15k (exactly $14,622) Horizon Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.