Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + 4 Player Local

Only 7 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lastbane, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.3k against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.6k → $38k → $1.3k → $1.6k
Outcomes for Survival Horror + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $4.7k (exactly $4,668)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, 4 Player Local
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 57% positive over 3,376 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $4.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sign of Silence older $4.99 1,787 52% 54k $268k (exactly $267,514) Renderise
Don't Shout Together older $4.99 470 30% 14k $70k (exactly $70,359) SinisterGames
Among Ass older $4.99 378 80% 11k $57k (exactly $56,587) Volens Nolens Games
KunKun dream Startles the Soul older $2.99 427 79% 13k $38k (exactly $38,302) AIKUN
Survive The Hill older $19.99 55 67% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Redivided Studios
A Technician's Nightmare older $1.99 171 78% 5.1k $10k (exactly $10,209) Luzh.
Beneath The Earth - Backrooms older $14.99 17 17% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) AI Gaming Dev
Lastbane · EA $3.99 39 25% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Lionstone Studio
Toy Scrappers $4.99 18 77% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) LoudScream
HE ESCAPED older $4.99 14 85% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Manuel I.
RADIOACTIVE INC. $1.99 26 61% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) 45DK
Backrooms Escape Protocol · EA $2.99 15 13% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Alarm Studio
L.O.S.T - Last Ones Standing Together · EA $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) High Level Studio
Beware The Ghost $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Goblinagerie
Breaking the Grip $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Imaginary Conception

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.