Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local FPS?

FPS + 4 Player Local

Only 12 developers shipped a 4 Player Local FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zort, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×940 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $3.2k → $1.6k
Outcomes for FPS + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,408,560)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 42
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, 4 Player Local
Price point
$5.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 90% positive over 11,835 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed older $24.99 3,798 90% 114k $2.8M (exactly $2,847,361) Digital Cybercherries
Zort · EA $4.00 11,738 90% 352k $1.4M (exactly $1,408,560) Londer Software
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
Screencheat older $14.99 851 91% 26k $383k (exactly $382,695) Samurai Punk
Murder Miners older $2.99 3,965 87% 119k $356k (exactly $355,660) JForce Games
False Front older $8.99 80 82% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,576) Svantech Studios
Nice Shot! The Gun Golfing Game older $6.99 59 88% 1.8k $12k (exactly $12,372) PolyGryph Studios
eBall older $4.99 79 72% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) Toxic Studio
Couch Combat older $9.99 36 72% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) ButWhyLevin
Dark Data older $6.99 26 84% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Enlightened Realm, Pixelfoot Games
Lastbane · EA $3.99 39 25% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Lionstone Studio
Developer Daily $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Mehan Games
RADIOACTIVE INC. $1.99 26 61% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) 45DK
Backrooms Escape Protocol · EA $2.99 15 13% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Alarm Studio
LuPR: Lunar Post Recruit $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Epic Tech Labs LLC
El Bandito VR $8.99 2 50% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Plexos
L.O.S.T - Last Ones Standing Together · EA $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) High Level Studio
Beware The Ghost $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Goblinagerie
THE IMPOSTOR $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Black Flag Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.