Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building 4 Player Local game?

Building + 4 Player Local

Only 14 developers shipped a Building 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BeaterCore, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $96k, ×154 the market median. Revenue is up 1630% on the market; 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 1630% on the market, 37 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $5.0k → $298 → $419 (still earning) → $82k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,947)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $96,503)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 52
Announced 37
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1630% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building, 4 Player Local
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 575 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $720, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $96k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
Tricky Towers older $14.99 12,390 90% 372k $5.6M (exactly $5,571,783) WeirdBeard
Zeepkist · EA older $19.99 1,555 97% 47k $933k (exactly $932,533) Steelpan Interactive
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Murder Miners older $2.99 3,965 87% 119k $356k (exactly $355,660) JForce Games
Bunhouse older $19.99 395 92% 12k $237k (exactly $236,881) Reky Studios
Wee Tanks! older $9.99 548 90% 16k $164k (exactly $164,236) Studio Kit
Bone's Cafe older $14.99 340 96% 10k $153k (exactly $152,898) Acute Owl Studio
Concordia: Digital Edition older $19.99 167 83% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) Acram Digital
BeaterCore $9.99 322 82% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,503) Artem Arbatsky
HOT WHEELS™ Infinite Rush $49.99 55 65% 1.7k $82k (exactly $82,484) Milestone S.r.l.
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Crafty Racer · EA $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Peterclark
Reaktor $6.99 22 90% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Reaktor Games
Speed Rivals - Slot Racing $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) BabelGames
Mistress Of The Tower $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Pipot Studio
Clash of Builders $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) DriftWhale Studio
Fantasy Car : Car Design Simulator 造车模拟器 $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Z's Quest Studio
The Fallen Kingdoms $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Bugra Ozden

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.