Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Wargame

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wargame 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Wargame

Only 16 developers shipped a Wargame 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1327 the market median. Revenue is up 435% on the market; 29 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 435% on the market, 29 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Wargame
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $1.2k → $59 → $180 → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Wargame: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $5.6k (exactly $5,605)
Top 5% $833k (exactly $833,166)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 63
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 435% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Wargame
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,967 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $540, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Last Stand: Defense $5.99 116 81% 3.5k $21k (exactly $20,845) ZiiTech Games
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
Planet TD older $2.99 124 73% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,123) MD Games
EagleRoad:WorldRise $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) XuJie
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
Skeletos Sword older $8.99 17 82% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Gamesforfarm
Starfield Battlegrounds $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) 谭浩翔
Fly Fly Tank older $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Cmos Studio
Korean War $1.99 12 66% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 丁近恒
Bodycam:Adrenaline $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Rocket Game
CodeWar Kingdom $8.99 2 50% 60 $539 (exactly $539) NULL.
The Little World $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) KS Studio
BlackLaceAssassins $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) VirtualDelightsPro

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.