Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + 3D Platformer

Of 23 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Looter Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $92k, ×62 the market median. Revenue is up 980% on the market; 16 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 980% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $239 → $120 → $1.5k → $390 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $93k (exactly $92,907)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 54
Announced 16
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 980% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, 3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,054 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $92k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  7. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  8. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  11. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced
  12. + RobotsPoor odds23 devs · median $6.0k · 32 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nuclear Epoch $14.99 487 78% 15k $219k (exactly $219,004) Cat Play Studio
Nakara $9.99 310 91% 9.3k $93k (exactly $92,907) R3dspike
LevelUp With 100 Cyber Girlfriend $17.99 126 76% 3.8k $68k (exactly $68,002) 雙峰狂詩曲
Fracturefront $8.99 64 95% 1.9k $17k (exactly $17,261) 梦行志远
TuHou Remilia - Begin Of Scarlet Family older $6.99 33 9% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) CoKe_Deer
EagleRoad:WorldRise $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) XuJie
Smells Like a Mushroom older $16.99 7 57% 210 $3.6k (exactly $3,568) Red Limb Studio
Gatherings older $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Lobster Games
SurgePoint · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) The Blue
Apocalypse Survivor · EA $6.99 7 42% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) li jun tao
DarkMytholoqy:Lucy $2.99 16 100% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Kioren Game
Depths of Insanity 3 $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Sloppy Joe Studios
Street grabbing of territory $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Southern Vermilion Bird

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.