Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Dating Sim

Of 36 developers who shipped a Dating Sim 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is flat on the market; 29 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 29 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $359 → $10k → $6.5k → $748 → $1.7k → $599 (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,790)
Top 5% $666k (exactly $665,778)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 129
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,564 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  5. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  7. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  8. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  9. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  10. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced
  12. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds8 devs · median $17k · 19 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
HoneySelect2Libido DX older $69.99 1,283 82% 38k $2.7M (exactly $2,693,915) ILLUSION
SHUTEN ORDER $49.99 712 80% 21k $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786) Neilo Inc.
BUNNY GARDEN older $24.99 1,230 92% 37k $922k (exactly $922,131) qureate
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Rabbit Burn older $14.99 680 89% 20k $306k (exactly $305,796) Bio Sapiens
VR-Kanojo $54.99 176 63% 5.3k $290k (exactly $290,347) ILLUMINATION
Thirsty Suitors older $29.99 233 96% 7.0k $210k (exactly $209,630) Outerloop Games
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Flee, My Elven Ninja! 3D $14.99 347 85% 10k $156k (exactly $156,046) Barance Studio
Sex Wishes 🔮 $14.99 145 68% 4.4k $65k (exactly $65,206) Dirty Adventures 🖤
Love Mansion $10.99 184 88% 5.5k $61k (exactly $60,665) Tsunmayo
Fate and Life: The Mystery of Vaulinhorn $13.99 139 64% 4.2k $58k (exactly $58,338) Celestial Novel
AICOMI $69.99 23 78% 690 $48k (exactly $48,293) ILLGAMES
Monmusu Paradise ~Visitors~ $4.99 66 74% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) Siluman Soft
彼氏の周りにいたら嫌な女友達を拳でわからせるゲーム $4.99 32 87% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) 園児ニア

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.