Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + 3D Platformer

Of 30 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420. 49 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 500% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 49 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $1.2k → $1.4k → $599 → $2.0k → $3.0k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $897 (exactly $897)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,227)
Top 5% $833k (exactly $833,166)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 84
Announced 49
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, 3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, 3D Fighter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 7,973 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $900, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE older $39.99 43,473 87% 1.3M $52M (exactly $52,154,558) Square Enix
CRISIS CORE –FINAL FANTASY VII– REUNION older $49.99 6,949 89% 208k $10M (exactly $10,421,415) Square Enix, TOSE CO., LTD.
Soulstice older $39.99 1,845 76% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,213,446) Reply Game Studios
FATAL FURY: City of the Wolves $19.99 3,135 82% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,880,059) SNK CORPORATION
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
SAMURAI MAIDEN older $59.99 648 60% 19k $1.2M (exactly $1,166,206) SHADE Inc.
Fight Angel Special Edition older $19.99 1,776 75% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) Red Fox
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
SAMURAI WARRIORS 4 DX older $49.99 475 85% 14k $712k (exactly $712,358) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
Redemption of Liuyin $18.99 137 83% 4.1k $78k (exactly $78,049) kingnagame
Taiwan Coolfox $24.99 57 78% 1.7k $43k (exactly $42,733) TSAI,JIE-TING 蔡杰廷, TSAI,KAI-SHIUN 蔡凱勛
VanySlash $17.99 61 86% 1.8k $33k (exactly $32,922) Atelier Delion
GLUM · EA $12.49 78 64% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,227) CinderCat Games
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.