Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + 2D Platformer

Of 131 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 123 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×248 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 123 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 123 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 131
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $1.4k → $3.1k → $1.2k → $1.1k → $1.3k → $598 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 131
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $9.9k (exactly $9,893)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,566)
Developers, 2 yr 131
Released games 325
Announced 123
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 9,919 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 71 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 123 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

觅长生 2023 · $12M Hylics 2 2020 · $1.4M Psychic Kung Fu Master 2026 · $1.0M Worldless 2023 · $934k 再刷一把2：金色传说 2025 · $824k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
觅长生 older $14.99 27,072 93% 812k $12M (exactly $12,174,278) Chalcedony Network
Hylics 2 older $14.99 3,158 96% 95k $1.4M (exactly $1,420,153) Mason Lindroth
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
再刷一把2：金色传说 $9.99 2,748 44% 82k $824k (exactly $823,576) 滑稽工作室
Super Neptunia RPG older $29.99 872 78% 26k $785k (exactly $784,538) Artisan Studios
英雄群侠传II older $11.99 2,103 88% 63k $756k (exactly $756,449) 熊窝dodox
Journey of Realm：Dawn Dew $10.99 2,233 97% 67k $736k (exactly $736,220) 葱色兔兔/Scallion Rabbit
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky older $9.99 2,437 93% 73k $730k (exactly $730,369) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Sword and Fairy older $4.99 3,947 97% 118k $591k (exactly $590,866) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An $17.99 690 88% 21k $372k (exactly $372,393) 开翼网络
緋月仙行錄 $19.99 454 57% 14k $272k (exactly $272,264) 月光草
Sakura Gozen $16.99 320 96% 9.6k $163k (exactly $163,104) kaniheadcrab
Monster Souls: Chains of Chimera $34.99 112 90% 3.4k $118k (exactly $117,566) inputHero
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
YGGDRA REFRAIN $9.99 311 79% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) BD
STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- $9.89 225 86% 6.8k $67k (exactly $66,758) Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロ… (Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロゲームの手応えとバランスを追求するデザイン工房-)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.