Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer FPS?

FPS + 2D Platformer

Only 17 developers shipped a 2D Platformer FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NEKOPARA After, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. Revenue is down 50% on the market, with 15 games announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $1.2M → $7.3k → $2.1k → $19k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $31,641)
Top 5% $359k (exactly $359,041)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 65
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Dating Sim, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,532 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $960, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
魔女的夜宴 older $34.99 9,664 98% 290k $10M (exactly $10,144,301) YUZUSOFT
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
To Be or Not to Be older $12.99 8,035 89% 241k $3.1M (exactly $3,131,240) Team K
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
Hamidashi Creative older $29.99 2,360 94% 71k $2.1M (exactly $2,123,292) madosoft
Koi x Shin Ai Kanojo older $34.99 1,104 88% 33k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,869) Us:track
Yusetsu older $16.99 1,262 88% 38k $643k (exactly $643,241) DSGame
Clover Day's Plus older $34.99 572 94% 17k $600k (exactly $600,428) ALcot
Fallen girl - Black rose and the fire of desire older $14.99 1,204 70% 36k $541k (exactly $541,439) BoRoBoRoGame
Miss Neko 3 older $2.99 4,470 92% 134k $401k (exactly $400,959) Double W
NEKOPARA After $9.99 1,198 90% 36k $359k (exactly $359,041) NEKO WORKs
Select Oblige $29.99 375 76% 11k $337k (exactly $337,388) Madosoft
Imouto Paradise! 3 $24.99 66 92% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) MOONSTONE
Secrets of the Heart $9.99 150 91% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) FallingDay
Femboy Love story $1.99 530 77% 16k $32k (exactly $31,641) 磷光工作室
Sex Beats $9.99 62 77% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Naku Kinoko
Paper2Galgame · EA $5.99 75 88% 2.3k $13k (exactly $13,478) TamikiP
Erotic Rhythm $3.99 61 90% 1.8k $7.3k (exactly $7,302) Naku Kinoko
Goddess Scroll - Brave Star $9.99 7 14% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Revenge Red Eyes
Seasons of Chiba · EA $3.99 8 75% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Hataka Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.