Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Flight game?

Flight + 2D Platformer

Of 31 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $60 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $178 → $449 → $839 → $0 → $119 → $0 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $359 (exactly $359)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 150
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Action, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 141 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $350, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX 2021 · $453k Lumione 2021 · $150k Jumbo Airport Story 2023 · $96k Spectacular Sparky 2021 · $83k Jet Kave Adventure 2021 · $55k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX older $19.99 756 80% 23k $453k (exactly $453,373) Jankenteam
Lumione older $11.99 418 73% 13k $150k (exactly $150,355) Glimmer Studio
Jumbo Airport Story older $8.99 355 89% 11k $96k (exactly $95,744) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Spectacular Sparky older $14.99 185 87% 5.6k $83k (exactly $83,194) FreakZone Games
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Speed Limit older $9.99 136 80% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Gamechuck
Duck Life 4 older $4.99 261 86% 7.8k $39k (exactly $39,072) Wix Games
Moolii's Dreamland older $7.99 69 89% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) WOWOH CAT
Gumboy - Crazy Adventures™ older $4.99 110 50% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,467) CINEMAX, s.r.o.
Dog of Wisdom $3.99 71 83% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) Joe Gran
Cursed Broom $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Cursed Creations
Professor Doctor Jetpack $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Roflcopter Ink GmbH
Gold for Retirement $3.99 18 94% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Underwater Dev-Depths
On The Wind's Breath $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Pink Sakura Studios
Gravity Drop $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Octopie Lab
Pocket Rocket $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Jazzcat games
AirShooShoo $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) OldMan Inc.
Record of Beautiful Men and Beautiful Women $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) TITK GAME
Two Rocket Ascent $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) HobakGrove

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.