Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon 2D Platformer?

Collectathon + 2D Platformer

Of 152 developers who shipped a Collectathon 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 159 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×410 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 159 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 159 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 152
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $718 → $1.2k → $1.4k → $1.5k → $718 → $551 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 152
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,046)
Top 5% $195k (exactly $194,902)
Developers, 2 yr 152
Released games 399
Announced 159
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 20,585 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 95 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 159 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
Promenade older $19.99 841 94% 25k $504k (exactly $504,348) Holy Cap
Luna's Fishing Garden older $7.99 1,689 93% 51k $405k (exactly $404,853) Coldwild Games, illufinch
Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey $14.99 883 90% 26k $397k (exactly $397,085) Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭
GEX Trilogy $29.99 332 71% 10k $299k (exactly $298,700) Limited Run Games, Crystal Dynamics
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
RUBATO $19.99 441 97% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) dconn
Sea Fantasy $14.99 585 86% 18k $263k (exactly $263,074) METASLA
Oozi: Earth Adventure older $9.99 809 88% 24k $242k (exactly $242,457) Awesome Games Studio
Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum $19.99 357 98% 11k $214k (exactly $214,093) Jupiter Corporation
Symphonia $19.99 325 88% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Sunny Peak
ROLLING STAR $11.99 216 96% 6.5k $78k (exactly $77,695) NUL2 STUDIO
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.