Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter 2D Platformer?

Choices Matter + 2D Platformer

Of 221 developers who shipped a Choices Matter 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 326 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $660, ×1.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×238 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 326 games are announced against 133 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 326 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 221
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $599 → $624 → $1.3k → $959 → $1.8k → $475 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 221
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $657 (exactly $657)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $113,209)
Developers, 2 yr 221
Released games 557
Announced 326
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, 2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Multiple Endings, Visual Novel
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 11,568 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $660, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 106 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 326 games are announced against 133 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Night in the Woods older $19.99 17,760 94% 533k $11M (exactly $10,650,672) Infinite Fall
Afterimage older $24.99 6,929 79% 208k $5.2M (exactly $5,194,671) Aurogon Shanghai
Anomaly Agent older $11.99 9,463 94% 284k $3.4M (exactly $3,403,841) Phew Phew Games
Forgotton Anne older $19.99 1,646 89% 49k $987k (exactly $987,106) Throughline Games
Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED $29.99 949 96% 28k $854k (exactly $853,815) TYPE-MOON, fuzz Inc.
Kugayama Shiori's Death Diary $24.99 987 95% 30k $740k (exactly $739,954) Laplacian
Shovel Knight Dig older $24.99 822 75% 25k $616k (exactly $616,253) Nitrome, Yacht Club Games
The Dark Queen of Mortholme $4.99 4,075 83% 122k $610k (exactly $610,028) Mosu
Ultros older $24.99 787 80% 24k $590k (exactly $590,014) Hadoque
AIR $29.99 639 98% 19k $575k (exactly $574,908) VISUAL ARTS/Key
BM General Hospital $7.99 1,368 86% 41k $328k (exactly $327,910) zzzgame
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
Dunjungle $14.99 692 96% 21k $311k (exactly $311,192) Bruno Bombardi
緋月仙行錄 $19.99 454 57% 14k $272k (exactly $272,264) 月光草
我的时光:大学日记 $13.99 340 25% 10k $143k (exactly $142,698) WaterWood Studio
Rogue Blight $12.99 318 91% 9.5k $124k (exactly $123,925) CodeRadGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.