Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + World War II
Should I ship a WWII Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + World War II
Only 6 developers shipped a WWII Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, A Foreign World, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $13k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $446 (exactly $446) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $13,323) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,024) |
| Top 5% | $100k (exactly $100,150) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 58 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- World War II
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Visual Novel
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 25,930 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Maitetsu:Last Run!! 2020 · $4.6M 
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo 2021 · $2.4M 
Maitetsu:Pure Station 2018 · $2.4M 
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ 2022 · $1.8M 
Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- 2022 · $852k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Maitetsu:Last Run!! | older | $34.99 | 4,425 97% | 133k | $4.6M (exactly $4,644,922) | Lose |
| | Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo | older | $29.99 | 2,718 95% | 82k | $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) | ωstar, Seikei Production |
| | Maitetsu:Pure Station | older | $24.99 | 3,151 96% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) | Lose |
| | Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ | older | $9.99 | 6,039 90% | 181k | $1.8M (exactly $1,809,888) | Psyop |
| | Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- | older | $39.99 | 710 88% | 21k | $852k (exactly $851,787) | Laplacian |
 | Flowers -Le volume sur ete- | older | $19.99 | 1,205 99% | 36k | $723k (exactly $722,638) | Innocent Grey |
 | SEX with HITLER | older | $6.99 | 3,358 81% | 101k | $704k (exactly $704,173) | Adolf Games |
 | Sex with Stalin | older | $5.99 | 2,217 83% | 67k | $398k (exactly $398,395) | Mova Games |
 | Lunar Mirror:The Pavilion of Desire | older | $9.99 | 1,329 81% | 40k | $398k (exactly $398,301) | TUTGame |
 | Through the Darkest of Times | older | $14.99 | 778 85% | 23k | $350k (exactly $349,867) | Paintbucket Games |
 | A Foreign World | $19.99 | 167 84% | 5.0k | $100k (exactly $100,150) | HighbornTiger | |
 | Grizzly Man | $8.99 | 52 90% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | LCB Game Studio | |
 | Grief like a stray dog | $4.99 | 89 98% | 2.7k | $13k (exactly $13,323) | Rayonist | |
 | Sinking The Boats | $6.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $7.1k (exactly $7,130) | 孟夏Mengxia | |
 | 谍影：余烬 | $0.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $446 (exactly $446) | 咕噜狗 | |
 | Through the fog | $6.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | GDStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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