Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Werewolves
Should I ship a Werewolf Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Werewolves
Only 14 developers shipped a Werewolf Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Seven Realms: High Lathión, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×9.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,787) |
| Top 5% | $166k (exactly $166,402) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Werewolves
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Episodic, Realistic, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,156 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Raging Loop 2017 · $9.5M 
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest 2020 · $362k 
The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran 2022 · $212k 
The Seven Realms: High Lathión 2024 · $166k 
Changeling Tale 2023 · $131k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Raging Loop | older | $29.99 | 10,568 95% | 317k | $9.5M (exactly $9,508,030) | KEMCO |
| | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest | older | $14.99 | 805 83% | 24k | $362k (exactly $362,008) | Different Tales |
| | The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran | older | $9.99 | 708 81% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,188) | SeptCloud Games |
| | The Seven Realms: High Lathión | $12.99 | 427 80% | 13k | $166k (exactly $166,402) | SeptCloud Games | |
| | Changeling Tale | older | $19.99 | 218 98% | 6.5k | $131k (exactly $130,735) | Helmet Fox |
 | Monster College | $9.99 | 435 95% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,370) | Monster Eye Games | |
 | When The Night Comes | older | $12.99 | 289 92% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $112,623) | Lunaris Games |
 | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Purgatory | older | $14.99 | 104 79% | 3.1k | $47k (exactly $46,769) | Different Tales |
 | A College of Thirst & Claws | · EA | $11.99 | 117 73% | 3.5k | $42k (exactly $42,085) | SeptCloud Games |
 | garage:VAMP | older | $4.99 | 182 67% | 5.5k | $27k (exactly $27,245) | Hyanmaru Games |
 | Kingdom of Lust | · EA | $12.99 | 62 64% | 1.9k | $24k (exactly $24,161) | Alienguy |
 | Bloodcrave | $14.99 | 44 72% | 1.3k | $20k (exactly $19,787) | Blue Fiend Studios | |
 | Trap for the Heir | $8.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | MariLuzaria | |
 | Amadeus: A Riddle for Thee ~ Episode 1 ~ Waltz | $7.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $4.8k (exactly $4,794) | ArcanaXIX | |
 | The Shame of a Daydreamer | $12.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Micki | |
 | Drealegy | $10.00 | 14 64% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,200) | ArcWillow | |
 | Havenfall is For Lovers | $29.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $3.6k (exactly $3,599) | UNICO INC. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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