Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Vampires
Should I ship a Vampire Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Vampires
Of 64 developers who shipped a Vampire Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×362 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 74 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $33,124) |
| Top 5% | $227k (exactly $227,472) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 64 |
| Released games | 154 |
| Announced | 74 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Vampires
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 10,486 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
MELTY BLOOD: TYPE LUMINA 2021 · $14M 
Monster Prom 2018 · $4.4M 
Melty Blood Actress Again Current Code 2016 · $2.9M 
AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed 2015 · $1.8M 
Vampire: The Masquerade - Coteries of New York 2019 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MELTY BLOOD: TYPE LUMINA | older | $49.99 | 9,130 88% | 274k | $14M (exactly $13,692,261) | FRENCH-BREAD, TYPE-MOON, Lasengle Inc.,… (FRENCH-BREAD, TYPE-MOON, Lasengle Inc., TAMSOFT CORPORATION, GameLoop Inc.) |
| | Monster Prom | older | $11.99 | 12,245 93% | 367k | $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) | Beautiful Glitch |
| | Melty Blood Actress Again Current Code | older | $24.99 | 3,819 93% | 115k | $2.9M (exactly $2,863,104) | FRENCH-BREAD |
| | AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed | older | $19.99 | 3,076 84% | 92k | $1.8M (exactly $1,844,677) | ACQUIRE Corp. |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade - Coteries of New York | older | $19.99 | 2,279 74% | 68k | $1.4M (exactly $1,366,716) | Draw Distance |
 | Nunholy | $7.99 | 5,150 88% | 155k | $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) | Chowbie | |
 | Cabernet | $19.99 | 2,025 94% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) | Party for Introverts | |
 | DRACU-RIOT! | $34.99 | 722 98% | 22k | $758k (exactly $757,883) | YUZUSOFT | |
 | Vampires' Melody | older | $3.99 | 5,559 97% | 167k | $665k (exactly $665,412) | AsicxArt |
 | Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds | older | $9.99 | 1,952 92% | 59k | $585k (exactly $585,014) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
 | Sex & Blood: Vampires | $9.99 | 759 71% | 23k | $227k (exactly $227,472) | Taboo Tales 💘 | |
 | Menherarium: Deadly Dice | $8.99 | 669 92% | 20k | $180k (exactly $180,429) | テスカトリポカ | |
 | The Seven Realms: High Lathión | $12.99 | 427 80% | 13k | $166k (exactly $166,402) | SeptCloud Games | |
 | Near-Mage | $19.99 | 180 89% | 5.4k | $108k (exactly $107,946) | Stuck In Attic | |
 | Cage of Roses | $12.99 | 190 88% | 5.7k | $74k (exactly $74,043) | ebi-hime | |
 | The World Well: Blood of Caro | $11.99 | 205 85% | 6.2k | $74k (exactly $73,738) | Nimparth | |
 | Futa Nights: Bloody Sluts 💋 | $14.99 | 159 74% | 4.8k | $72k (exactly $71,502) | Dirty Adventures 🖤 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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