Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Underwater
Should I ship an Underwater Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Underwater
Only 10 developers shipped an Underwater Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Panthalassa, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $41k, ×65 the market median. Revenue is up 2600% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) |
| Top 5% | $41k (exactly $41,131) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2600% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Underwater
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 73% positive over 209 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Mythic Ocean 2020 · $49k 
Panthalassa 2026 · $41k 
Aquadine 2021 · $17k 
The Rescue of Mermaids 2025 · $11k 
Deep Sea Valentine 2021 · $7.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mythic Ocean | older | $14.99 | 110 97% | 3.3k | $49k (exactly $49,467) | Paralune LLC |
| | Panthalassa | $13.99 | 98 97% | 2.9k | $41k (exactly $41,131) | Meia Calça | |
| | Aquadine | older | $19.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $17k (exactly $17,391) | SoftColors |
| | The Rescue of Mermaids | $4.99 | 71 49% | 2.1k | $11k (exactly $10,629) | Erogille | |
| | Deep Sea Valentine | older | $4.99 | 47 89% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | KigyoDev |
 | You Can Save Everyone | older | $5.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | Caleb Draper |
 | LOGBOOK: Beneath the Storm | $13.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | Pink Iceberg Games | |
 | MILF LOVE - Spa Date | $9.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | CrazySky3D | |
 | Maze Of Realities: Flower Of Discord Collector's Edition | older | $7.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | Do Games Limited |
 | Azkend 2: The World Beneath | older | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | 10tons Ltd |
 | Dino VR Experience | · EA | $9.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Virtual Factory srl |
 | Black Submarine: deep seek | · EA | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | fShark Games |
 | Dead Sea - Director's cut remaster | $1.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | Brave Men Games | |
 | Mast Up! Seas of Desire | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Kopon Games | |
 | Submerged Lights | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Overlooked Option Visual Novels | |
 | Where We Echo | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Fernhead |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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