Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Vampires

Only 15 developers shipped a Vampire Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×433 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $47k → $15k → $450
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $67k (exactly $66,567)
Top 5% $272k (exactly $271,621)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 37
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $66k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disciples: Liberation older $39.99 2,706 73% 81k $3.2M (exactly $3,246,388) Frima Studio
Immortal Realms: Vampire Wars older $29.99 408 62% 12k $367k (exactly $367,078) Palindrome Interactive
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
Few Nights More $14.99 382 81% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Aeterna Ludi
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
The Book of Outcasts $9.99 101 70% 3.0k $30k (exactly $30,270) kamti
Touhou DollDraft older $14.99 38 68% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) milliondoubts
Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie $4.99 102 89% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) DVS
DevilReversi $9.99 6 33% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) RomanKitayama
Uncanny Valley: Le Petit Morte $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Chris King
Mistress of Lust: Carmilla $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) ERMedia

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.