Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Transhumanism
Should I ship a Transhumanist Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Transhumanism
Of 37 developers who shipped a Transhumanist Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×110 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 43 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) |
| Top 5% | $52k (exactly $52,479) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Transhumanism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Lore-Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 5,648 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016 · $15M 
Nunholy 2025 · $1.2M 
State of Mind 2018 · $928k 
Lightracer Spark 2023 · $378k 
Cockwork Industries Complete 2019 · $259k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action | older | $14.99 | 33,838 97% | 1.0M | $15M (exactly $15,216,949) | Sukeban Games |
| | Nunholy | $7.99 | 5,150 88% | 155k | $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) | Chowbie | |
| | State of Mind | older | $19.99 | 1,548 76% | 46k | $928k (exactly $928,336) | Daedalic Entertainment |
| | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
| | Cockwork Industries Complete | older | $9.99 | 864 76% | 26k | $259k (exactly $258,941) | Digital Seductions |
 | War of the Human Tanks | older | $9.99 | 339 91% | 10k | $102k (exactly $101,598) | Yakiniku Banzai |
 | Ceiba | older | $6.99 | 255 94% | 7.7k | $53k (exactly $53,474) | Wirion, 7DOTS |
 | Max's Big Bust 2 - Max's Bigger Bust | older | $29.99 | 59 94% | 1.8k | $53k (exactly $53,082) | Lached Up Games |
 | Mars Vice | $24.99 | 70 97% | 2.1k | $52k (exactly $52,479) | Rho Labyrinths GmbH | |
 | Panthalassa | $13.99 | 98 97% | 2.9k | $41k (exactly $41,131) | Meia Calça | |
 | Songs of Rats | $14.99 | 50 78% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,485) | Tesseract Games | |
 | 春はあけぼの、我はバケモノ。 - Spring at Dawn, I Am a Monster. | $9.99 | 75 64% | 2.3k | $22k (exactly $22,478) | CHARON, STUDIO CHARON | |
 | A Moment of Bliss | $7.99 | 87 90% | 2.6k | $21k (exactly $20,854) | Keys to My Lockheart | |
 | DATING OF THE FUTURE | $15.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $20,627) | geoWaffle | |
 | Veins Like Tapeworms | $19.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | AwesomeTrinket | |
 | The Queen of Phalli | $9.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,688) | Labor of Love | |
 | Neofeud 2 | $14.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Silver Spook Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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