Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Local Multiplayer

Of 101 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 121 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $22k, ×35 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 121 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 121 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 101
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $3.1k → $3.4k → $1.0k → $210 → $210 → $299 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 101
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $22,178)
Developers, 2 yr 101
Released games 335
Announced 121
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, PvP, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,407 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 121 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Songs of Conquest older $29.99 12,127 85% 364k $11M (exactly $10,910,662) Lavapotion
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit older $39.99 3,754 92% 113k $4.5M (exactly $4,503,674) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Wargroove older $19.99 4,015 83% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,407,796) Chucklefish
Worms Clan Wars older $24.99 1,678 77% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,257,997) Team17 Digital Ltd
Richman 11 older $18.99 2,065 47% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,430) CMGE
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Combat Mission Shock Force 2 older $59.99 624 80% 19k $1.1M (exactly $1,123,013) Battlefront
Frozen Synapse older $24.99 1,108 89% 33k $831k (exactly $830,668) Mode 7
The Conquest of Go $14.99 581 94% 17k $261k (exactly $261,276) Wolfey Studios
Franchise Hockey Manager 11 $19.99 148 70% 4.4k $89k (exactly $88,756) game54 Software, Out of the Park Develo… (game54 Software, Out of the Park Developments)
Franchise Hockey Manager 12 $19.99 132 78% 4.0k $79k (exactly $79,160) game54 Software, Out of the Park Develo… (game54 Software, Out of the Park Developments)
Deviation Game · EA $14.99 109 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Tomo Kihara, Playfool
Bonesaw $6.66 179 89% 5.4k $36k (exactly $35,764) Blood Pact Studios
Headquarters: Cold War $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) Starni Games
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate (Classic) $9.99 74 90% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Random Games
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Final Liberation: Warhammer Epic 40,000 (Classic) $5.99 88 87% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,814) Holistic Design Inc
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.