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Should I ship a Trading Turn-Based Tactics?
Turn-Based Tactics + Trading
Of 21 developers who shipped a Trading Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×135 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $360 (exactly $360) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $15,830) |
| Top 5% | $85k (exactly $84,530) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Tactics, Trading; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Management, Simulation
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,286 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TanksFair
- + AutomationFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DiceFair
- + MiningFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + PlatformerLong shot
Comparable games
Port Royale 4 2020 · $1.7M 
Mega Man Star Force Legacy Collection 2026 · $788k 
Horizon's Gate 2020 · $727k 
GOAL! The Club Manager 2022 · EA · $327k 
Caravaneer 2 2020 · $96k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Port Royale 4 | older | $39.99 | 1,405 56% | 42k | $1.7M (exactly $1,685,578) | Gaming Minds |
| | Mega Man Star Force Legacy Collection | $39.99 | 657 96% | 20k | $788k (exactly $788,203) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Horizon's Gate | older | $19.99 | 1,213 94% | 36k | $727k (exactly $727,436) | Rad Codex |
| | GOAL! The Club Manager | · EA older | $29.99 | 364 33% | 11k | $327k (exactly $327,491) | 2tainment |
| | Caravaneer 2 | older | $5.99 | 535 94% | 16k | $96k (exactly $96,140) | Dmitry Zheltobriukhov |
 | 九州：立志 | $11.99 | 235 81% | 7.1k | $85k (exactly $84,530) | Xbgzs | |
 | Dust Raiders | $15.99 | 160 64% | 4.8k | $77k (exactly $76,752) | Vixa Games | |
 | Club Manager 2016 | older | $19.99 | 66 50% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | BigBlaze Games |
 | SELF MADE: Investment Life Sim | $14.99 | 52 84% | 1.6k | $23k (exactly $23,384) | Billmeade Gaming | |
 | Grand Cru: The Wine Maker | $14.99 | 37 86% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | hAi Corp | |
 | Business War: ERP Sandbox Simulation | $15.99 | 33 84% | 990 | $16k (exactly $15,830) | 夜与潜伏者 | |
 | Warp to Sector One | · EA | $11.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $15k (exactly $14,748) | hextor.Games |
 | 中年失业模拟器2-When a man lose his job 2 | $5.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $7.7k (exactly $7,727) | Kwing works | |
 | Commander Bug Wars | $9.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | GoldenGod Games | |
 | Machiavelli the Prince | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Holistic Design, Inc. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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