Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Top-Down Shooter

Only 10 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Enter the Chronosphere, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,618)
Top 5% $189k (exactly $188,874)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 94% positive over 438 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate older $9.99 5,918 92% 178k $1.8M (exactly $1,773,625) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
No Plan B older $14.99 761 86% 23k $342k (exactly $342,222) GFX47
Enter the Chronosphere · EA $14.99 420 94% 13k $189k (exactly $188,874) Effort Star
Tactical Combat Department older $4.99 108 61% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,168) LukasH
NEXT JUMP: Shmup Tactics older $3.99 78 80% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) Post Mortem Pixels
Bug Butcher older $4.99 29 72% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Chuvdji
Ultrazone older $9.99 13 76% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Delphyq · EA older $14.99 6 16% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Dusk Wave Arts LLC
Space Grunts: Chrono Shard $15.99 4 100% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) Orangepixel
Rootin' Tootin' Lootin' & Shootin' $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Raspberry Jam
Intergalactic Cleaning Squad $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Rigid Games
Bweh $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) mrcringedk
Clock Shooter $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 4dimonk
Mutant Slime : Survivor Team $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BSE Tech
Final battle in zhifudao $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JIANGFENG
Quixotic $34.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Quixotic
Tilebound:Mahjong Survivors $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BambooByte Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.