Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Thriller

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Thriller Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Thriller

Only 12 developers shipped a Thriller Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Out Of Hands, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $680, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1136 the market median. Revenue is up 8160% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 8160% on the market, 16 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Thriller
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $538 → $359 → $17k
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Thriller: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $683 (exactly $683)
Top 25% $87k (exactly $86,513)
Top 5% $713k (exactly $713,483)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8160% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Thriller
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,577 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $680, 1 in 4 over $86k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Out Of Hands $17.99 1,322 93% 40k $713k (exactly $713,483) Game River
SIDE EFFECTS $4.99 858 83% 26k $128k (exactly $128,443) hirohun, Mr.Pootsley, Jaybooty, Lofar42
Exorcism Agency $12.99 222 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,513) YINGGUO GAME
勇者与亡灵之都 older $6.99 356 93% 11k $75k (exactly $74,653) grade
Relief $9.99 112 70% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Billiontail
Dissimilar $18.99 29 89% 870 $17k (exactly $16,521) Opal Grave Games
Raging Bytes older $14.99 22 77% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Hit-Point Co.,Ltd.
Zombies!!! Board Game older $14.99 8 37% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) BABAROGA, LLC
It Returned To The Desert older $4.99 19 94% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Tim Rachor
Grand Strokers older $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) NecroCatic Games
西部枪手 · EA $0.99 23 100% 690 $683 (exactly $683) 比岛礁石
GASLIFT: A Chair Horror $2.99 6 50% 180 $538 (exactly $538) SmoochGM
Fracas $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Rookbird Games
Ivan $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Henry Scheuller
Hidden Bloodhunt $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Imaginary Conception

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.