Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Turn-Based Tactics?
Turn-Based Tactics + Supernatural
Of 21 developers who shipped a Supernatural Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $70k, ×113 the market median. Revenue is up 760% on the market; 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
| Top 25% | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) |
| Top 5% | $71k (exactly $70,765) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 760% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Deckbuilding, Strategy
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 631 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TanksFair
- + AutomationFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DiceFair
- + MiningFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + PlatformerLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Marvel's Midnight Suns | older | $59.99 | 17,060 82% | 512k | $31M (exactly $30,702,882) | Firaxis Games |
| | Hard West | older | $19.99 | 4,103 74% | 123k | $2.5M (exactly $2,460,569) | CreativeForge Games |
| | Hard West 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,717 80% | 82k | $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) | Ice Code Games |
| | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
| | Necroking | older | $4.99 | 857 81% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,293) | KORO.GAMES |
| | Exorcism Agency | $12.99 | 222 91% | 6.7k | $87k (exactly $86,513) | YINGGUO GAME | |
| | THE SPIRIT LIFT | $19.99 | 118 94% | 3.5k | $71k (exactly $70,765) | prettysmart games | |
| | Mato Anomalies | older | $14.99 | 131 70% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Arrowiz |
| | Deck of Souls | $11.99 | 153 84% | 4.6k | $55k (exactly $55,034) | Bigboot Studios | |
| | RESEARCH and DESTROY | older | $19.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $27k (exactly $26,986) | Implausible Industries |
| | RECORD_DrowsyVortex | $9.99 | 54 100% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | LunarHillz | |
| | Futa Succubus Slay! | $12.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $10k (exactly $10,132) | Npolish | |
| | DeckLand | · EA | $14.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | JellySnow Studio |
| | Trial of Ariah | $11.95 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.3k (exactly $4,302) | 30 Minute Games | |
| | Fungal Colony Sim 2 | $7.99 | 13 61% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | Skylor Beck | |
| | 蚀界档案 | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | 深圳市创源互娱科技有限公司 | |
| | Axe Ghost | $9.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Tomasz Kaye |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.