Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Supernatural

Of 21 developers who shipped a Supernatural Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $70k, ×113 the market median. Revenue is up 760% on the market; 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 760% on the market, 43 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $16k → $240 → $898 → $5.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 5% $71k (exactly $70,765)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 43
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 760% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Deckbuilding, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 631 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $70k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Midnight Suns older $59.99 17,060 82% 512k $31M (exactly $30,702,882) Firaxis Games
Hard West older $19.99 4,103 74% 123k $2.5M (exactly $2,460,569) CreativeForge Games
Hard West 2 older $29.99 2,717 80% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) Ice Code Games
Shardpunk older $13.99 739 92% 22k $310k (exactly $310,158) Clockwork Pile
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
Exorcism Agency $12.99 222 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,513) YINGGUO GAME
THE SPIRIT LIFT $19.99 118 94% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) prettysmart games
Mato Anomalies older $14.99 131 70% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Arrowiz
Deck of Souls $11.99 153 84% 4.6k $55k (exactly $55,034) Bigboot Studios
RESEARCH and DESTROY older $19.99 45 95% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Implausible Industries
RECORD_DrowsyVortex $9.99 54 100% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) LunarHillz
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
DeckLand · EA $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) JellySnow Studio
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games
Fungal Colony Sim 2 $7.99 13 61% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Skylor Beck
蚀界档案 $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) 深圳市创源互娱科技有限公司
Axe Ghost $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Tomasz Kaye

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.