Do I ship it?

GamesSpellingSpelling + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spelling Word Game?

Spelling + Word Game

Of 102 developers who shipped a Spelling Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 1 / 10 build. 66 developers shipped in the last year and 98 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 98 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spelling + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 102
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $599 → $1.3k → $418 → $300 → $1.3k → $299 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spelling + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 102
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $45,869)
Developers, 2 yr 102
Released games 276
Announced 98
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Systems
Spelling, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Typing, Puzzle, Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,829 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 66 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spelling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MagicFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  2. + PvPLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced
  3. + Interactive FictionPoor odds8 devs · median $18k · 12 announced
  4. + RoguelikePoor odds25 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  5. + AdventurePoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 38 announced
  6. + SimulationPoor odds16 devs · median $3.2k · 15 announced
  7. + RPGPoor odds17 devs · median $2.9k · 22 announced
  8. + Choices MatterPoor odds11 devs · median $2.4k · 17 announced
  9. + ExplorationPoor odds13 devs · median $1.2k · 23 announced
  10. + StrategyPoor odds42 devs · median $779 · 52 announced
  11. + FantasyPoor odds20 devs · median $719 · 24 announced
  12. + PvEPoor odds13 devs · median $657 · 18 announced

All 28 pairs on the Spelling page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wordle older $30.62 1,147 80% 34k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) PreoNus Games
Pronoun Palace $19.84 1,249 99% 37k $743k (exactly $743,405) Cadence Petersen, Hazel Fackler
Wordle 3 older $30.62 610 78% 18k $560k (exactly $560,346) PreoNus Games
Wordle 2 older $30.62 394 61% 12k $362k (exactly $361,928) PreoNus Games
Word Play $7.99 1,010 89% 30k $242k (exactly $242,097) Game Maker's Toolkit
Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes older $9.99 606 84% 18k $182k (exactly $181,618) HeartBeat Plus
Paper Bride 6 Nightmare $9.99 369 81% 11k $111k (exactly $110,589) HeartBeat Plus
スペルトナエル older $8.99 344 97% 10k $93k (exactly $92,777) おまど
You Can Kana - Learn Japanese Hiragana & Katakana older $9.99 281 98% 8.4k $84k (exactly $84,216) James Moulang
Letter Quest: Grimm's Journey Remastered older $7.99 340 93% 10k $81k (exactly $81,498) Bacon Bandit Games
Touch Type Tale - Strategic Typing $19.99 107 89% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Pumpernickel Studio
MORSE $13.99 124 93% 3.7k $52k (exactly $52,043) ALJO Games
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
WonderLang Polyglot $39.99 36 80% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) bair games
Word Game World $11.99 114 62% 3.4k $41k (exactly $41,006) Team9
这是谐音梗 $2.40 567 94% 17k $41k (exactly $40,824) Find the Lamp Games
Гвалт $7.99 151 93% 4.5k $36k (exactly $36,195) maxter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.