Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Souls-like?

Souls-like + Tactical RPG

Only 11 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dwarven Realms, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1230% on the market, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.6k → $809 → $1.7k
Outcomes for Souls-like + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Top 5% $854k (exactly $854,145)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1230% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like, Tactical RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,955 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $810, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $850k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
King of the Bridge older $2.99 1,667 95% 50k $150k (exactly $149,530) Finn Schuuring
Rugby League Team Manager 3 older $39.99 75 80% 2.3k $90k (exactly $89,978) Alternative Software Ltd
勇者与亡灵之都 older $6.99 356 93% 11k $75k (exactly $74,653) grade
Anima: Gate of Memories - The Nameless Chronicles older $19.99 123 80% 3.7k $74k (exactly $73,763) Anima Project
Metal as Phuk older $4.99 236 95% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) Crankage Games
Grim Quest - Old School RPG older $5.99 151 91% 4.5k $27k (exactly $27,135) Monomyth
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
Ashes of Morgravia $11.99 43 67% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) background blur.
Magicians And Monsters older $5.99 68 64% 2.0k $12k (exactly $12,220) 呜噜噜游戏
Tides of The Endless · EA $7.99 25 84% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Shimmer High Sea
Traveler Of Light · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) ZENG CHEN
Master Knight $3.99 11 72% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) DIG Games
Cursebound · EA $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) nuuunu
The King of Assassins - The Kingdom $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Faith Studio Team, Rabie Mounther Haddad
DarkShine · EA $3.00 5 100% 150 $450 (exactly $450) DScorp
Arena $2.00 6 100% 180 $360 (exactly $360) 30 Minute Games
Incestuous Affair $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Alright Peaches Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.