Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival Horror Souls-like?

Souls-like + Survival Horror

Of 22 developers who shipped a Survival Horror Souls-like in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.6k, ×6.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $23M, ×15809 the market median. Revenue is up 6300% on the market; 48 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 6300% on the market, 48 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $76k → $10k → $8.5k → $6.6k → $719 → $16k → $190k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Souls-like + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $9.6k (exactly $9,581)
Top 25% $267k (exactly $266,612)
Top 5% $24M (exactly $23,682,516)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 78
Announced 48
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6300% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like, Survival Horror; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 43,974 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $9.6k, 1 in 4 over $260k, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
Rain World older $24.99 46,871 94% 1.4M $35M (exactly $35,139,189) Videocult
Onimusha: Way of the Sword $69.99 11,279 89% 338k $24M (exactly $23,682,516) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
Blood West older $24.99 6,132 90% 184k $4.6M (exactly $4,597,160) Hyperstrange
SENRAN KAGURA Peach Beach Splash older $29.99 3,885 81% 117k $3.5M (exactly $3,495,334) Tamsoft
Bleak Faith: Forsaken older $29.99 2,839 75% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) Archangel Studios
Changed older $4.99 16,062 88% 482k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,481) DragonSnow
The Headliners $7.99 8,534 86% 256k $2.0M (exactly $2,045,600) KAFI
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
Spark in the Dark · EA $16.99 1,174 87% 35k $598k (exactly $598,388) Stellar Fish
ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY $17.99 494 79% 15k $267k (exactly $266,612) ASD Games Studio
The Bleakest Keep $9.99 719 90% 22k $215k (exactly $215,484) Cache of Bones
Withering Realms · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Moonless Formless
Death Frame $14.99 57 98% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) EpiXR Games UG
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.