Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Souls-like?

Souls-like + Supernatural

Only 12 developers shipped a Supernatural Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hell is Us, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $6.4M, ×4284 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 34 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $419 → $5.1k → $838 → $610k → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Souls-like + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,881)
Top 5% $6.4M (exactly $6,417,216)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 8,510 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $6.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hell is Us $49.99 4,279 83% 128k $6.4M (exactly $6,417,216) Rogue Factor
The Dark Queen of Mortholme $4.99 4,075 83% 122k $610k (exactly $610,028) Mosu
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition older $24.99 786 71% 24k $589k (exactly $589,264) Plot Twist
Volgarr the Viking II older $19.99 85 81% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Digital Eclipse, Crazy Viking Studios
Nullpoint Protocol $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Everbloom Games
Outliver: Tribulation older $7.99 42 78% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) GBROSSOFT
Italian Brainrot: In Prison $4.99 64 81% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) ShLeks, Hero
JimmyCraft older $4.99 34 100% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Happysoft Interactive
Hollow Witch older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Bad Kid Games
King of Halloween older $4.99 17 47% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) King Key Games
Redhelm Dynasty $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Tirazis
Demon Street $9.99 6 66% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Manycats Games
BERENICE: Videogame $3.99 7 28% 210 $838 (exactly $838) SATORI Ent.
Grey Prince $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) OBICORP SoftwareWorks
Miko Funk $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Blaze Epic
ASHOR · EA $2.00 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Nihat Toygar SAN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.