Games › Souls-like › Souls-like + Sports
Should I ship a Sports Souls-like?
Souls-like + Sports
Only 6 developers shipped a Sports Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) |
| Top 25% | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 5% | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Souls-like
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Souls-like, Sports
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,713 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + JRPGFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + WarPoor odds
- + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
| | Rugby League Team Manager 3 | older | $39.99 | 75 80% | 2.3k | $90k (exactly $89,978) | Alternative Software Ltd |
| | Ball-it Hell | older | $2.99 | 368 95% | 11k | $33k (exactly $33,010) | Jamesika |
| | Eggcelerate! to the Tropics | older | $11.99 | 37 97% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $13,309) | Tim Beaudet, Tyre Bytes LLC |
| | Dark SASI | older | $0.99 | 313 57% | 9.4k | $9.3k (exactly $9,296) | Narko Games |
| | Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss | $15.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) | daminggede | |
| | Until the last | older | $4.99 | 22 36% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | NedoStudio |
| | Rift Adventure | older | $7.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | GameBrew Studio |
| | Stayhome Simulator | older | $0.99 | 104 78% | 3.1k | $3.1k (exactly $3,089) | Two Inc |
| | Gachi Dungeon Master | older | $2.99 | 32 96% | 960 | $2.9k (exactly $2,870) | Slippy Floor |
| | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
| | BROKEN CLINCH -Crimson Bloom- | $11.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) | KasekisaiSquAd | |
| | BOO! ARE YOU SCARED? | $0.99 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $1.1k (exactly $1,129) | Paphnutius | |
| | 67 Simulator | · EA | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | close2 Entertainment |
| | Getaway Golf | $0.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | schizmo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.