Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Souls-like?

Souls-like + Space

Only 15 developers shipped a Space Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PRAGMATA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $386 → $97k → $1.0k → $5.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Souls-like + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $97k (exactly $96,856)
Top 5% $59M (exactly $59,183,134)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 46
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 34,672 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $96k, 1 in 20 over $59M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ older $39.99 153,782 88% 4.6M $184M (exactly $184,492,265) Respawn Entertainment
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ older $69.99 79,990 71% 2.4M $168M (exactly $167,955,003) Respawn
PRAGMATA $59.99 32,885 96% 987k $59M (exactly $59,183,134) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga older $49.99 38,294 90% 1.1M $57M (exactly $57,429,512) TT Games
STAR WARS™: The Force Unleashed™ II older $19.99 5,854 63% 176k $3.5M (exactly $3,510,644) Aspyr Studios
Scars Above older $29.99 2,775 77% 83k $2.5M (exactly $2,496,668) Mad Head Games
Moros Protocol $24.99 731 81% 22k $548k (exactly $548,031) Pixel Reign
Rebel Transmute older $19.99 243 74% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Fatal Fawn Games
Somber Echoes $14.99 271 81% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Rock Pocket Games, Lav Games
Lumberjacked $4.99 647 83% 19k $97k (exactly $96,856) Inner Realm Studios, Dumb Duck Games
Adventure of Samsara $19.99 66 89% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Ilex Games
Rogue Eclipse $19.99 50 62% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) HUSKRAFTS
Snack Invaders · EA $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Whippy Games
Tankiro $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Rmonak
Gravity Break · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Dan… (bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Daniel Clifton, Nanna Fjord)
Pluto Lost Its Colors $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Bile Beans For Biliousness

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.