Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Solitaire

Of 62 developers who shipped a Solitaire Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 34 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 47 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $5.8k → $2.5k → $598 → $300 → $450 → $150 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,992)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 123
Announced 47
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Solitaire; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Your Only Move Is HUSTLE 2023 · $5.8M Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M Cardboard Town 2023 · $1.2M Zoominoes 2026 · $247k Merge Maestro 2025 · $46k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Your Only Move Is HUSTLE older $4.99 38,703 96% 1.2M $5.8M (exactly $5,793,839) Ivy Sly
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Zoominoes $14.99 549 91% 16k $247k (exactly $246,885) Starlight Games inc.
Merge Maestro $3.99 384 93% 12k $46k (exactly $45,965) Stingless
Tsuro - The Game of The Path older $9.99 134 91% 4.0k $40k (exactly $40,160) Thunderbox Entertainment
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Khet 2.0 older $9.99 117 89% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) BlueLine Games
Pro Strategy Football 2022 older $12.99 81 86% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2024 older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Kungfu Card · EA $4.99 125 73% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio
Myth Monkey Card $5.99 62 100% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,141) Myth Card Studio
Oracle 5000 $10.99 30 63% 900 $9.9k (exactly $9,891) Tripple Y, 疯狂地蛋工作室
Goritaire $4.99 40 92% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Arc System Works
Happy Poker $4.99 36 80% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) VGameX
Negative Space $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Tier 87 Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.