Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Sokoban

Only 11 developers shipped a Sokoban Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Treasure 'n Trio, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×173 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $599 → $6.1k → $1.3k → $2.5k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $8.8k (exactly $8,807)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $108,827)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 55
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Sokoban
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 97% positive over 450 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Slayaway Camp 2016 · $193k Treasure 'n Trio 2025 · $109k 868-BACK 2026 · $73k Cramped Room of Death 2023 · $31k Red Ronin 2021 · $29k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slayaway Camp older $8.99 715 95% 21k $193k (exactly $192,836) Blue Wizard Digital
Treasure 'n Trio $14.99 242 100% 7.3k $109k (exactly $108,827) TNT
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
Cramped Room of Death older $14.99 69 94% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Hafiz Mohd Rozlan
Red Ronin older $7.99 119 87% 3.6k $29k (exactly $28,524) Wired Dreams Studio
Brain Break older $4.99 164 75% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Astralis Games
SOK MAX older $4.99 79 87% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) Siberian Mouse
Wilderplace older $12.99 29 100% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lu… (Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lubanovic)
Threes! older $5.99 56 96% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,063) Asher Vollmer, Greg Wohlwend, BigGiantC… (Asher Vollmer, Greg Wohlwend, BigGiantCircles)
Unlock The King older $0.99 329 95% 9.9k $9.8k (exactly $9,771) Minimol Games
Demon Corporation: Onboarding $6.99 42 95% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) A Shrine of Ludens
刻印战记1：法利兹传 $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Lycian Studio
Götz $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Sleepy Seed
GRID CRYPT $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) isu
Devour the Elixir $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) 泉游工作室
DoomWall $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Berlingot D'Or
Tombs Of Myra $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Asylum Square
A Simple Square $4.79 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Antharuu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.