Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Tabletop game?

Sokoban + Tabletop

Only 11 developers shipped a Sokoban Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Morphing Blocks, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $89 against a market of $120. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 805% on the market, 4 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $955 → $0 → $90 → $119
Outcomes for Sokoban + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $89 (exactly $89)
Top 25% $148 (exactly $148)
Top 5% $505 (exactly $505)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 70
Announced 4
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 805% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Sokoban, Tabletop
Price point
$1.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 100% positive over 34 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $89, 1 in 4 over $140, 1 in 20 over $500.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
EXIT older $7.99 42 88% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) SIXNAILS
Unlock The King older $0.99 329 95% 9.9k $9.8k (exactly $9,771) Minimol Games
Fluffy Cubed older $1.99 97 93% 2.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,791) Naoka Games
Chess Brain: Dark Troops older $2.99 64 93% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,741) Caio Flavio
Chess Brain older $0.99 156 89% 4.7k $4.6k (exactly $4,633) Caio Flavio
Knight Swap older $0.99 124 89% 3.7k $3.7k (exactly $3,683) Minimol Games
Laruaville 11 Match 3 Puzzle older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) LGT SIA
Fluffy Milo older $1.99 47 97% 1.4k $2.8k (exactly $2,806) Cozy Village
Morphing Blocks $0.99 17 100% 510 $505 (exactly $505) J. TAO
Cat Block - Sliding Puzzle $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) ZT-Studio
GridFiller $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) AlchemistGame
BoxIsland: Sokoban $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) ASON GAME
Dream Kitten $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) SmartGames
Puyo! Sokoban $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) SkyStudio
24 Grab Points $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Meta Entropy Culture
Puzzle Player $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RuneWright Interactive
A Simple Square $4.79 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Antharuu
OG Puzzlers: Synthwave Vampires $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Schwan OG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.