Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Sokoban?

Sokoban + Cats

Only 15 developers shipped a Cat Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cat Squeeze, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×6.5 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.3k → $4.8k → $716 → $776 (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sokoban + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $776 (exactly $776)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,389)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 52
Announced 16
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Sokoban
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 99% positive over 145 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $780, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  5. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  6. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  8. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  10. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.5k · 12 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backrooms Cats and Lava older $29.99 105 79% 3.2k $94k (exactly $94,468) Galactic Geckon
Cats Love Boxes older $3.99 432 97% 13k $52k (exactly $51,710) Devcats
Romeow: in the cracked world older $9.99 129 98% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,661) Remix Games
Romeow: to the cracked Mars older $9.99 63 95% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Remix Games
A Street Cat's Tale 2: Outside is Dangerous older $13.99 38 89% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,949) PPIYO STUDIO
Cat Squeeze $9.99 38 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Cattery Studio, Pone Games
Roll The Cat older $2.99 97 94% 2.9k $8.7k (exactly $8,701) LeJunesArt
Of Mice and Moggies older $7.99 32 96% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Bippinbits
Fluffy Cubed older $1.99 97 93% 2.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,791) Naoka Games
Push The Cat with WASD older $9.99 16 81% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Blink Hydrate ブリンク
NTR Neko Maid: Erotic Favor $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) ハーフトーンドット
Stinky Cat $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Utterly Useless
Meow Mission $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Accelix
Lost in Cheese $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) SnøVittra
Sokocat: Castaway $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Rising Moon Games
Sausage Cat $0.99 36 100% 1.1k $1.1k (exactly $1,069) Lemmtopia Games
Fluffy Arena $1.99 13 100% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Pet Party
博物魅影 $1.99 12 91% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 图南工作室(Tunan Studio)
Cat Block - Sliding Puzzle $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) ZT-Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.