Games › Sokoban › Sokoban + Futuristic
Should I ship a Futuristic Sokoban?
Sokoban + Futuristic
Of 21 developers who shipped a Futuristic Sokoban in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $36k, ×76 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) |
| Top 5% | $36k (exactly $36,000) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sokoban
- effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
- Futuristic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Sokoban; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Logic, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Minimalist, Abstract, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 729 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CollectathonFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + CatsFair
- + LogicFair
- + Grid-Based MovementFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Puzzle PlatformerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + TacticalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lab Rat | $19.99 | 365 97% | 11k | $219k (exactly $218,890) | Chump Squad | |
| | Toroban | $20.00 | 60 86% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $36,000) | Hebert Games LLC | |
| | 4D Intuition | $14.99 | 67 100% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Yu Gu (yugu233) | |
| | The Electrifying Incident: A Monster Mini-Expedition | $4.99 | 169 93% | 5.1k | $25k (exactly $25,299) | Draknek and Friends | |
| | Parcel | older | $4.99 | 140 84% | 4.2k | $21k (exactly $20,958) | Polar Bunny Ltd |
| | Frame - Portals on Steroids | older | $16.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $17,840) | MechanicsDriven |
| | ALAN-13 Reformation | older | $15.99 | 34 82% | 1.0k | $16k (exactly $16,310) | Viktor Kovács |
| | Don't Touch this Button! | older | $3.99 | 88 93% | 2.6k | $11k (exactly $10,534) | 9 Eyes Game Studio |
| | Unlock The King | older | $0.99 | 329 95% | 9.9k | $9.8k (exactly $9,771) | Minimol Games |
| | 4X4 | older | $4.99 | 60 91% | 1.8k | $9.0k (exactly $8,982) | Marimori |
| | Vextorial | $8.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $8.4k (exactly $8,361) | VEXT GAMES | |
| | Move That Box | $4.99 | 20 85% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Crashykk Games | |
| | Axona | $7.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) | Onat Oke | |
| | A Thread Between | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Sluice Gate Games | |
| | 胞-胞实验室 Cell-Cell Lab | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | BABA Games, Yun Fan Studio | |
| | LABYBAN | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Studio Gravenoire |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.