Do I ship it?

GamesLogicLogic + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Logic game?

Logic + Sokoban

Of 203 developers who shipped a Sokoban Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 176 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×6.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 176 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 176 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Logic + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 203
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $1.5k → $1.3k → $748 → $1.0k → $300 → $776 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Logic + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 203
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $28,448)
Developers, 2 yr 203
Released games 578
Announced 176
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Logic, Sokoban; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Grid-Based Movement, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 98% positive over 1,664 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. Nearly all of the 101 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 176 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Logic with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LovecraftianFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  2. + City BuilderFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + NoirFair42 devs · median $2.7k · 59 announced
  4. + HackingFair60 devs · median $2.5k · 67 announced
  5. + VampiresFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 14 announced
  6. + DragonsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 8 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair54 devs · median $2.1k · 44 announced
  8. + Bullet TimeFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + TransportationFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  11. + Automobile SimFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + CookingFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced

All 200 pairs on the Logic page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baba Is You older $14.99 21,011 97% 630k $9.4M (exactly $9,448,647) Hempuli Oy
Patrick's Parabox older $19.99 4,985 99% 150k $3.0M (exactly $2,989,504) Patrick Traynor
Paper Trail older $19.99 726 94% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Newfangled Games
Paquerette Down the Bunburrows older $11.99 1,115 96% 33k $401k (exactly $401,066) Bunstack
Can of Wormholes older $19.99 563 99% 17k $338k (exactly $337,631) munted finger
Sokobond older $14.99 547 93% 16k $246k (exactly $245,986) Alan Hazelden, Lee Shang Lun
I'm on Observation Duty 5 older $9.99 775 96% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Notovia
Maxwell's puzzling demon older $14.99 413 98% 12k $186k (exactly $185,726) muratsubo Games
Poke ALL Toads $11.99 447 100% 13k $161k (exactly $160,786) SpaceMatra
About Love, Hate and the other ones older $7.99 626 90% 19k $150k (exactly $150,052) Black Pants Studio
Gentoo Rescue $19.99 237 99% 7.1k $142k (exactly $142,129) Jagriff
Theta and Paralldox on Worldlines $9.99 276 97% 8.3k $83k (exactly $82,717) XXela
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
He Who Watches $19.99 109 96% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) Bobby Vanden
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Loophole $9.99 154 99% 4.6k $46k (exactly $46,154) Levi Pinkert
Puzzle Depot $19.99 61 100% 1.8k $37k (exactly $36,582) Laughing Manatee Games
Toroban $20.00 60 86% 1.8k $36k (exactly $36,000) Hebert Games LLC
4D Intuition $14.99 67 100% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) Yu Gu (yugu233)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.