Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Sokoban?

Sokoban + Space

Only 11 developers shipped a Space Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 4D Intuition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 95% on the market, with 12 games announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Sokoban + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,994)
Top 5% $30k (exactly $30,130)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 34
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Sokoban
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 97% positive over 171 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
4D Intuition $14.99 67 100% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) Yu Gu (yugu233)
Romeow: to the cracked Mars older $9.99 63 95% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Remix Games
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Don't Touch this Button! older $3.99 88 93% 2.6k $11k (exactly $10,534) 9 Eyes Game Studio
4X4 older $4.99 60 91% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Marimori
SPACE STORESHIP -スペースストアシップ- older $6.99 31 93% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Otakesan
Remote Planets older $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) zuza
Space Ducks: The great escape older $3.99 29 82% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) 6 Toad Games, taletronic
Space Porter older $9.99 11 81% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Stas Paty9mkin
PortalBox $4.99 22 81% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) FancygodGame
Spacecaps $4.99 20 95% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Artless Games
CLONY $2.99 31 100% 930 $2.8k (exactly $2,781) YORUROJI
Globs $2.99 28 100% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) Ninesliced, ArkanYota, Notgoyome, Theob… (Ninesliced, ArkanYota, Notgoyome, Theobosse, Strochnis, Yolwoocle)
Moon Garden Optimizer $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Tristan Miller
Box Stocks $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Obscure Fruit Studios
Spirit-Capture Net $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) 符羽
Sokobrane $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Branestorm
SokobotS $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OgmaGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.