Do I ship it?

GamesSokobanSokoban + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Sokoban?

Sokoban + Solitaire

Only 5 developers shipped a Solitaire Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, H+H=H2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1 more is announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $120. 1 game is announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 1 announced, ×0.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sokoban + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Sokoban + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 36
Announced 1
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Sokoban, Solitaire
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 170 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $1.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1 game is announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sokoban with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  3. + CatsFair15 devs · median $776 · 16 announced
  4. + LogicFair203 devs · median $718 · 176 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  6. + PuzzleFair294 devs · median $599 · 288 announced
  7. + ProgrammingFair8 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + StrategyFair141 devs · median $539 · 125 announced
  10. + Puzzle PlatformerFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  11. + FuturisticLong shot21 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds6 devs · median $19k · 16 announced

All 50 pairs on the Sokoban page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chess Dungeons older $9.99 24 79% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Remix Games, Luis Fae
Minimal Crypt older $5.99 26 92% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Crafty Weazel
SokoSolitaire older $4.99 24 95% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Daisy Games
Laruaville 11 Match 3 Puzzle older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) LGT SIA
Cursed House 12 older $12.99 7 85% 210 $2.7k (exactly $2,728) LGT SIA
Up and Down older $8.99 10 100% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Konstantin Pilipaka
Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest older $1.99 45 97% 1.4k $2.7k (exactly $2,686) Daniel Siqueira Abdelnur
Cursed House 13 older $12.99 5 100% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) LGT SIA
H+H=H2 $3.99 14 92% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Feishiko
Cursed House 10 - Match 3 Puzzle older $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) LGT SIA
Cursed House 8 $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) LGT SIA
Cursed House 14 $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) LGT SIA
Devour the Elixir $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) 泉游工作室
Moon Garden Optimizer $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Tristan Miller
24 Grab Points $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Meta Entropy Culture

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.