Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Science

Only 7 developers shipped a Science Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cell Command, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.3k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,968)
Top 5% $86k (exactly $85,812)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,345 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $85k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nexus 5X older $14.99 884 90% 27k $398k (exactly $397,535) Whatboy Games
Evolution Board Game older $14.99 348 81% 10k $156k (exactly $156,496) North Star Digital Studios
HyperRogue older $9.99 404 97% 12k $121k (exactly $121,079) Zeno Rogue
PRINCIPIA: Master of Science · EA older $9.99 302 69% 9.1k $91k (exactly $90,509) tomeapp
Cell Command $17.99 159 97% 4.8k $86k (exactly $85,812) Alpherior
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Business War: ERP Sandbox Simulation $15.99 33 84% 990 $16k (exactly $15,830) 夜与潜伏者
Hydra Slayer older $5.99 45 93% 1.4k $8.1k (exactly $8,086) Zeno Rogue
Nova-111 older $4.99 54 79% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Funktronic Labs
Freenergy $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Mir
Caduceus Quest $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Resilient Games Studio, LLC
Futureal $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) InScienceGames, Matt Alister Lawrence
Director of Solar Affairs $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Tupolev the Ascender

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.