Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Rome

Only 9 developers shipped a Roman Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bloodgrounds, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×536 the market median. Revenue is up 410% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 410% on the market, 16 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $1.0k → $248k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Top 5% $336k (exactly $336,432)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 410% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 79,951 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition 2013 · $49M Total War: ROME REMASTERED 2021 · $11M Expeditions: Rome 2022 · $7.0M The Age of Decadence 2015 · $1.6M Field of Glory: Empires 2019 · $881k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition older $29.99 54,547 87% 1.6M $49M (exactly $49,075,936) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: ROME REMASTERED older $29.99 12,627 77% 379k $11M (exactly $11,360,512) Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive
Expeditions: Rome older $44.99 5,156 86% 155k $7.0M (exactly $6,959,053) Logic Artists
The Age of Decadence older $14.99 3,582 82% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,825) Iron Tower Studio
Field of Glory: Empires older $39.99 734 81% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Ageod
Field of Glory II older $29.99 705 87% 21k $634k (exactly $634,288) Byzantine Games
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Bloodgrounds $19.99 561 77% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) Exordium Games
Never Second in Rome $12.99 637 81% 19k $248k (exactly $248,239) Alessandro Roberti
Aggressors: Ancient Rome older $29.99 222 79% 6.7k $200k (exactly $199,733) Kubat Software
Roman General · EA $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Moore Games
Saul of Tarsus - Bible Game $7.99 8 75% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Song of Nature
Arena Monarchy · EA $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Kevin Zhang
Centurion's Gambit $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) iebaz
Ludus Manager $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) WARSONG ENTERTAINMENT
Arena $2.00 6 100% 180 $360 (exactly $360) 30 Minute Games
Primus $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Ethan Clarke

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.