Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Robots
Should I ship a Robot Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Robots
Of 45 developers who shipped a Robot Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.8k, ×4.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $99k, ×159 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 55 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) |
| Top 25% | $9.2k (exactly $9,232) |
| Top 5% | $100k (exactly $99,901) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 45 |
| Released games | 144 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Robots
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choose Your Own Adventure, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,467 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020 · $13M 
Super Robot Wars 30 2021 · $10M 
New Gundam Breaker 2018 · $2.6M 
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- 2016 · $2.3M 
Stella of The End 2023 · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ATRI -My Dear Moments- | older | $20.99 | 21,411 98% | 642k | $13M (exactly $13,482,507) | Frontwing, 枕 |
| | Super Robot Wars 30 | older | $59.99 | 5,608 85% | 168k | $10M (exactly $10,092,718) | Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc. |
| | New Gundam Breaker | older | $49.99 | 1,706 45% | 51k | $2.6M (exactly $2,558,488) | CRAFTS & MEISTER Co., Ltd. |
| | Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- | older | $9.99 | 7,777 95% | 233k | $2.3M (exactly $2,330,767) | Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSE… (Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSEOK) |
| | Stella of The End | older | $19.99 | 2,858 97% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,713,943) | VisualArts/Key |
 | Projekt: Passion - Season 1 | older | $11.99 | 3,501 92% | 105k | $1.3M (exactly $1,259,310) | Classy Lemon |
 | planetarian HD | older | $9.99 | 3,197 98% | 96k | $958k (exactly $958,141) | VisualArts/Key |
 | State of Mind | older | $19.99 | 1,548 76% | 46k | $928k (exactly $928,336) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE | older | $34.99 | 698 90% | 21k | $733k (exactly $732,691) | MAGES. Inc. |
 | Robolife-Days with Aino | older | $14.99 | 1,387 91% | 42k | $624k (exactly $623,734) | Barance Studio |
 | Sexbot | $14.99 | 723 86% | 22k | $325k (exactly $325,133) | Llamamann Games | |
 | ToHeart | $19.99 | 313 87% | 9.4k | $188k (exactly $187,706) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Robot girl's dream -RobotBattleChampionship- | $16.99 | 196 95% | 5.9k | $100k (exactly $99,901) | DeskClub Games | |
 | BatteryNote | $11.99 | 203 98% | 6.1k | $73k (exactly $73,019) | 72studio | |
 | Steel Century Groove | $19.99 | 98 94% | 2.9k | $59k (exactly $58,771) | Sloth Gloss Games | |
 | Train and Tame | $9.99 | 184 65% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $55,145) | Tames Games | |
 | My Furry Protogen 3 🐾 | $4.99 | 221 95% | 6.6k | $33k (exactly $33,084) | Dirty Fox Games | |
 | planetarian: Snow Globe | $3.99 | 273 95% | 8.2k | $33k (exactly $32,678) | VISUAL ARTS/Key | |
 | My Protogen Engineer ⚙️ | $4.99 | 213 97% | 6.4k | $32k (exactly $31,886) | Dirty Fox Games | |
 | DATING OF THE FUTURE | $15.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $20,627) | geoWaffle |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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