Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Puzzle Platformer

Of 21 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $390 → $179 → $5.2k → $150 → $599 → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $629 (exactly $629)
Top 5% $5.2k (exactly $5,194)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 77
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $620, 1 in 20 over $5.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Carcassonne - Tiles & Tactics older $9.99 1,978 83% 59k $593k (exactly $592,807) Artefacts Studio
Bearnard older $16.99 152 97% 4.6k $77k (exactly $77,474) Michał Wikliński
TERRACOTTA older $19.99 80 80% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) Appnormals Team
Brain Break older $4.99 164 75% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Astralis Games
Crowhille - Detective Case Files VR older $5.99 90 88% 2.7k $16k (exactly $16,173) Saturn VR, NipsApp Gaming Software
Vandals older $4.99 81 76% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) Cosmografik, Novelab, Ex Nihilo, ARTE F… (Cosmografik, Novelab, Ex Nihilo, ARTE France)
#holoReversi $9.99 35 80% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) RomanKitayama, Clover Lab.,inc., CHIMER… (RomanKitayama, Clover Lab.,inc., CHIMERA special agency LLC.)
SOK PRO older $4.99 60 90% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Siberian Mouse
Jack & Detectives - A Silent Social Detection Game - older $4.99 52 75% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Curiouspark
UltraNothing older $3.99 51 94% 1.5k $6.1k (exactly $6,105) Snorillaka
Hero Guider $1.99 87 98% 2.6k $5.2k (exactly $5,194) BestQ
Imperial Settlers: Imperial Miners $12.99 5 100% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) infoexpert games
Baduk Challenge (Go Challenge) $10.99 4 50% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) OH YU HWAN
Last Shinobi $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Dark Tomato Studio
GunBlocks · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Steve Welz
CUPLEX $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Tensole Games
Knowledge Domination $0.99 19 78% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Frosy Games
Plant Plots $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Padoru Games
stopDrop. $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Static City Games, Indie_Myke

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.