Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Time Travel

Only 17 developers shipped a Time-Travel Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, LIFTED, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $41k, ×88 the market median. Revenue is up 425% on the market; 38 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 425% on the market, 38 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $360 → $7.6k → $1.6k → $899 → $2.6k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,979)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 62
Announced 38
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 425% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Puzzle Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 306 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time older $9.99 5,045 85% 151k $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) Kudosoft
The Gardens Between older $19.99 2,362 93% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) The Voxel Agents
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
What Lies in the Multiverse older $14.99 519 91% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) Studio Voyager, IguanaBee
Hourglass older $19.99 331 88% 9.9k $199k (exactly $198,501) Cyberwave
Chronology older $4.99 536 89% 16k $80k (exactly $80,239) Bedtime Digital Games
LIFTED $19.99 70 92% 2.1k $42k (exactly $41,979) Adventure Works L.L.C.
Clocker older $4.99 190 79% 5.7k $28k (exactly $28,443) Wild Kid Games
YesterMorrow older $19.99 45 57% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bitmap Galaxy
火起雪中寺 $10.99 59 77% 1.8k $19k (exactly $19,452) 江湖奇事录
Mai: Child of Ages $14.99 34 88% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Chubby Pixel
TEAM PANIC $3.99 83 62% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Furko
Beta MAX $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Nexcide
CYCLIA JOURNEY $7.99 11 81% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Wonderfy Inc.
Chrono $2.99 29 100% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) David Simoes
Denbora $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Bionic Ape
Time Flipper $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Lusho
Nia: Jewel Hunter $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) ByPuziki Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.