Do I ship it?

Games › Puzzle Platformer › Puzzle Platformer + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Supernatural

Of 47 developers who shipped a Supernatural Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×319 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 69 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 69 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $1.4k → $1.0k → $1.2k → $3.1k → $8.2k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,309)
Top 5% $152k (exactly $151,646)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 115
Announced 69
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 5,155 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $630, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Firework 2021 · $12M Creaks 2020 · $3.2M Bye Sweet Carole 2025 · $779k Scarlet Idol 2026 · $620k Paper Bride 2021 · $487k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Firework older $9.99 41,172 97% 1.2M $12M (exactly $12,339,248) Shiying Studio
Creaks older $19.99 5,323 95% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,192,203) Amanita Design
Bye Sweet Carole $24.99 1,039 72% 31k $779k (exactly $778,938) Little Sewing Machine
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
Paper Bride older $7.99 2,030 91% 61k $487k (exactly $486,591) HeartBeat Plus
Dreaming Sarah older $5.99 2,301 92% 69k $413k (exactly $413,490) Asteristic Game Studio, Anthony Septim
Paper Bride 2 Zangling Village older $9.99 1,010 91% 30k $303k (exactly $302,697) HeartBeat Plus
Black Sheep older $11.99 742 52% 22k $267k (exactly $266,897) 完蛋了的国王
Wildfire older $14.99 452 83% 14k $203k (exactly $203,264) Sneaky Bastards
Climb The Backrooms $4.99 1,013 81% 30k $152k (exactly $151,646) LovDEV
Rubbings $9.99 183 87% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) 午夜说书人
Inkwellers $9.99 136 88% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) ScrumptiousSprouts sp. z o.o.
THE GOOD OLD DAYS $19.99 60 85% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) ヨコゴシステムズ
Winter Clothing $9.99 41 75% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) 坤舆科技
Cat carried Butterfly $8.99 43 81% 1.3k $12k (exactly $11,597) 包包丁STUDIO
Particle Hearts $14.99 20 90% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Underwater Fire
After School Afterlife $7.99 34 100% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) Mini Bunnies

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.