Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Sci-fi

Of 190 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 368 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 103 developers shipped in the last year and 368 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 368 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 190
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $538 → $599 → $599 → $539 → $358 → $359 → $538 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 190
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $74,363)
Developers, 2 yr 190
Released games 714
Announced 368
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Puzzle Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 82,306 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 108 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 368 games are announced against 103 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
Portal older $9.99 173,594 98% 5.2M $52M (exactly $52,026,122) Valve
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition older $24.99 8,722 96% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,538,883) SIGONO INC.
COCOON older $24.99 7,961 94% 239k $6.0M (exactly $5,968,362) Geometric Interactive
Planet of Lana older $19.99 9,609 92% 288k $5.8M (exactly $5,762,517) Wishfully
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Iconoclasts older $19.99 4,169 86% 125k $2.5M (exactly $2,500,149) Joakim Sandberg
Planet of Lana II $19.99 875 91% 26k $525k (exactly $524,738) Wishfully
Mind Over Magnet $9.99 1,344 89% 40k $403k (exactly $402,797) Game Maker's Toolkit
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games
MotionRec $9.99 430 99% 13k $129k (exactly $128,871) HANDSUM
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Brave Escape $19.99 145 97% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Hit Start Studios
Goodboy Galaxy $24.99 110 95% 3.3k $82k (exactly $82,467) Goodboy Galaxy Ltd.
Exographer $19.99 124 94% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) SciFunGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.