Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Souls-like?

Souls-like + Psychological Horror

Of 59 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Souls-like in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.8k, ×3.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $3.0M, ×2056 the market median. Revenue is up 335% on the market; 65 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 335% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $15k → $7.2k → $5.1k → $8.9k → $4.2k → $36k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Souls-like + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $5.8k (exactly $5,821)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,624)
Top 5% $3.1M (exactly $3,079,339)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 215
Announced 65
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 335% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$6.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Funny, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.00.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 54,480 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $5.8k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $3.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
CODE VEIN II $69.99 5,193 66% 156k $11M (exactly $10,903,742) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
コイカツ! / Koikatsu Party older $59.99 5,298 91% 159k $9.5M (exactly $9,534,811) ILLUSION
Living With Sister: Monochrome Fantasy older $12.99 15,119 69% 454k $5.9M (exactly $5,891,874) Inusuku
YOU and ME and HER: A Love Story older $29.99 6,033 95% 181k $5.4M (exactly $5,427,890) Nitroplus
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
BLACK SOULS $13.99 7,337 95% 220k $3.1M (exactly $3,079,339) Eeny, meeny, miny, moe?
Hellpoint older $34.99 2,582 76% 77k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,325) Cradle Games
Changed older $4.99 16,062 88% 482k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,481) DragonSnow
BLACK SOULS II $13.99 5,277 97% 158k $2.2M (exactly $2,214,757) Eeny, meeny, miny, moe?
The Headliners $7.99 8,534 86% 256k $2.0M (exactly $2,045,600) KAFI
Nunholy $7.99 5,150 88% 155k $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) Chowbie
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
ButtKnight $9.99 1,299 91% 39k $389k (exactly $389,310) Goblin Stew, Critical Bliss
The Married Woman Nextdoor - Creampie SEX Beside Her Husband $9.99 933 86% 28k $280k (exactly $279,620) AibanWork
ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY $17.99 494 79% 15k $267k (exactly $266,612) ASD Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.