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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Time Manipulation game?
Procedural Generation + Time Manipulation
Of 22 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $80k, ×170 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $81k (exactly $80,968) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 37 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation, Time Manipulation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Dungeon Crawler, Action
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 968 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | No Plan B | older | $14.99 | 761 86% | 23k | $342k (exactly $342,222) | GFX47 |
| | Cube Chaos | $11.99 | 621 95% | 19k | $223k (exactly $223,374) | Wunarg | |
| | Titans of the Past | $24.99 | 108 83% | 3.2k | $81k (exactly $80,968) | Devil's Dozen Games | |
| | Time Snatcher Handy | $9.99 | 88 96% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,374) | PulleyBun, ClockworkCats | |
| | Natti | · EA older | $7.99 | 109 58% | 3.3k | $26k (exactly $26,127) | 4DAYS LAB Co., Ltd. |
| | Industry Giant | older | $9.99 | 70 77% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $20,979) | QLOC |
| | Moon Watch | · EA | $9.99 | 56 57% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $16,783) | Jaspel |
| | Oakenfold | older | $19.99 | 24 70% | 720 | $14k (exactly $14,393) | Rutger van Dijk |
| | SATORI | older | $7.99 | 43 76% | 1.3k | $10k (exactly $10,307) | EMOTION THEORY |
| | Afterglitch | older | $9.99 | 24 91% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Vladimir Kudelka |
| | Ricave | $14.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Rogueatic Games | |
| | Panta Rhei - Guardian of Time | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Sappalot Studio, Omme Animation, Nordic… (Sappalot Studio, Omme Animation, Nordic Scoring) | |
| | Anomaly Protocol | · EA | $4.99 | 33 72% | 990 | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) | Oriland |
| | Wild Script: Nature | · EA | $4.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Surdarium |
| | Symphorix | · EA | $5.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | OnTriggerJoy |
| | Stop the Blight | $12.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | Bouncy Washer |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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