Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Tabletop game?

Procedural Generation + Tabletop

Of 50 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×631 the market median. Revenue is up 220% on the market; 100 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 220% on the market, 100 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $8.8k → $1.1k → $564 → $1.6k → $838 → $1.7k (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $300k (exactly $299,500)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 175
Announced 100
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.62

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 220% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation, Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, RPG
Price point
$7.62 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.62.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,778 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dungeon Alchemist 2022 · EA · $3.6M Curious Expedition 2016 · $1.8M Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) 2015 · $563k Nowhere Prophet 2019 · $541k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeon Alchemist · EA older $44.99 2,666 94% 80k $3.6M (exactly $3,598,300) Briganti
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) older $14.99 1,253 86% 38k $563k (exactly $563,474) Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno R… (Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno Rogue, Krzysztof Dycha, Lucas Dieguez)
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
ORX · EA older $19.99 636 68% 19k $381k (exactly $381,409) johnbell
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Heroes Wanted older $19.99 533 81% 16k $320k (exactly $319,640) Gameplete
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Dobbel Dungeon $19.99 441 92% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) Gamepie
Master of Realms · EA $39.99 27 81% 810 $32k (exactly $32,392) TheMasterForge LLC
Successor $24.99 43 60% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Playwood Project
ColdRidge $9.99 97 73% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Frog Collective
Slaves of Magic $24.99 37 78% 1.1k $28k (exactly $27,739) Amethyst Dreamers
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.